Can we predict fall asthma exacerbations? Validation of the seasonal asthma exacerbation index
Asthma affects about 1 in 11 American children, making it one of the most common diseases of childhood. It carries a huge burden on families, especially during exacerbations when disease activity suddenly flares, leading to breathlessness and even death. In this month’s issue of JACI, Hoch and colleagues discuss their research in validating the Seasonal Asthma Exacerbation Predictive Index, the saEPI ( J Allergy Clin Immunol 2017; 140(4): 1130-1137 ). The saEPI is a score ranging from 0 to 16 that can help predict how likely a child is to have an asthma flare. Using data from the Preventative Omalizumab or Step-Up Therapy for Fall Exacerbations (PROSE) study, they looked at 348 children randomized to two groups: one with omalizumab, and another with guideline-based therapy alone. They then calculated and validated the saEPI, moreover the authors looked at other factors that were associated with exacerbations. In short, they found that children who req...